Opinion

In 10 Years, Owning a Humanoid Will Be as Common as Owning a Smartphone Today

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—And If You’re Not Ready, You’ll Be Left in the Dust

The Future Isn’t Coming—It’s Already Here

If you still think humanoid robots belong in sci-fi flicks, buckle up. In a decade, these walking, talking, and possibly joking contraptions will be a fixture in everyday life—much like smartphones are now. And if that sounds too wild, think back: fifteen years ago, most of us scoffed at the idea of a “phone” that could also stream video, navigate with GPS, and host half our social life.

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In 10 Years, Owning a Humanoid Will Be as Common as Owning a Smartphone Today 3

“So you’re saying I’ll have a personal C-3PO in my living room?”
Absolutely.

The Unstoppable Numbers

  • $38 Billion Market by 2035 (Goldman Sachs)
  • 49.21% CAGR from 2024–2035 (Roots Analysis)
  • $150,000 material cost per robot in 2023, but dropping fast (Reuters)

Sure, a humanoid robot costs more than your new phone right now. But if history has taught us anything, it’s that early-adopter pricing never lasts. Remember when flat-screen TVs were priced like cars?

Smartphones: A Lesson in Rapid Adoption

Let’s look at how quickly we embraced the tiny supercomputers in our pockets:

  • 4.88 billion people currently own a smartphone (about 60.42% of the global population).
  • By 2025, that number could hit 7.33 billion—around 90.33% of humanity (Prioridata, Coolest Gadgets).

A decade ago, these figures would’ve sounded insane. Now it’s just another Tuesday. The same trajectory is set for humanoid robots—except this time, they’re bipedal, and they’ll be able to do a whole lot more than just take selfies.


Ditch the Delusion: “I Don’t Need a Robot”

Raise your hand if you once said, “Why would I need the internet on my phone?” The same dismissive attitude is rearing its head again. But guess what? Convenience and curiosity always win. Today, we rely on our smartphones to pay bills, order groceries, and track our health. Tomorrow, we’ll rely on our humanoid companions to take out the trash, brew our coffee, and maybe even help the kids with homework.

Sound Ridiculous?

So did the idea of streaming an HD movie on a 4-inch screen—until Netflix and smartphones changed our entire entertainment landscape overnight.


More Than Just Fancy Toasters

Yes, humanoid robots will drastically change our daily routines—but it’s not just about having a mechanical butler:

  • Healthcare Game-Changers: They could assist nurses and take care of repetitive tasks, giving real doctors more time for actual patient care.
  • Manufacturing Overhaul: Factories operating 24/7 with minimal errors. Human workers freed up for roles that demand judgment, creativity, and oversight.
  • Domestic Lifesavers: Sick of doing laundry? Your humanoid might handle it—and do a better job folding than you ever could.

It’s less about turning us into “lazy lumps” and more about channeling our brainpower toward things machines can’t do—like genuine creativity and human connection.


Yes, Jobs Will Change—They Always Do

Whenever you bring up robots, people start talking job losses. Is there a risk? Absolutely. But historically, major tech leaps create new industries as fast as they displace old ones. Smartphones destroyed some jobs (remember the camera industry meltdown?), but they created an explosion of app developers, mobile marketers, and entire gig economies. Humanoid robots will spark a similar revolution.


Ethics, Privacy, and the “Robot Overlord” Paranoia

We won’t shy away from the tough questions:

  • Who’s liable if a humanoid slips up and injures someone?
  • What about privacy when your robot sees every room in your house?
  • Could these machines become “too smart”?

Legitimate concerns, sure—but the momentum behind humanoid adoption is huge. Money, innovation, and consumer demand don’t wait for perfect regulation. We’ll tackle these issues on the fly—much like we did with data privacy in the smartphone age (still a work in progress, admittedly).


Cost Is Already Dropping

Current material costs hover around $150,000 per unit (Reuters), but that’s before you factor in economies of scale. Prices for early smartphone prototypes were sky-high too, and now you can pick up a decent one for under $200. If you think a household humanoid is out of reach, just wait a few years—competition and mass production will slash that price tag.


The Social Status Flex Factor

Humans love showing off the latest tech. The day humanoids become semi-affordable, you’ll see them popping up in influencer videos, millionaires’ mansions, and your tech-obsessed neighbor’s living room. Before long, not owning one might feel like being the last person you know without a mobile phone in 2008—awkward, inefficient, and hopelessly out of touch.


Ready or Not, Here They Come

It’s easy to scoff at the idea of a robotic helper. But the world is changing—fast. By 2035, the humanoid market could be worth $38 billion, growing nearly 50% every year. That’s a juggernaut of an industry. You can either brace for impact or get flattened by it.


Final Word: Embrace the Inevitable

Whether you like it or not, humanoids are marching into our lives. So the real question is: Will you adapt early and find new ways to thrive? Or will you cling to the past while your neighbors offload their chores to the latest home-based android?

If you’re ready for more no-nonsense takes on the future of robotics, AI, and how they’ll upend our lives, subscribe to my Substack. Because in a few years, you’ll either be living with a humanoid assistant—or wishing you had one.

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About Dean Fankhauser

Dean Fankhauser is the Founder of Blu.Ventures and Holdigo, which are the makers of Robozaps, Bitcompare, Movingto, PromptPal, and more.

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